Sport Picks
Urk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Urk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Urk haven't matched ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Urk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Urk Clean Sheet 20%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urk | ADO 20 Heemskerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.87 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
Urk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Urk
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urk 49 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urk ADO 20 Heemskerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urk found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
ADO 20 Heemskerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Urk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Urk VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Urk
(Home) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
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23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
18 Apr
Urk
3 : 3 Huizen
28 Mar
Urk
4 : 5 Sparta Nijkerk
14 Mar
Urk
4 : 0 VV Hoogeveen
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ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Away) 27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
