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Urk vs Huizen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Urk and Huizen finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Urk
20%
Draws
29%
Huizen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Urk haven't matched Huizen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Urk a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Urk have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Huizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urk Huizen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Huizen
3:3
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Huizen vs Urk
2:5
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Huizen
5:1
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Huizen vs Urk
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urk 40 / 100
Huizen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urk Huizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huizen has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Urk's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Urk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Urk VS Huizen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urk

(Home)
23 May
Urk
1 : 2
Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1
Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3
Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0
Urk
Page 1 of 6

Huizen

(Away)
01 Aug
GVVV
6 : 3
Huizen
30 May
Huizen
1 : 3
HVV Hollandia
27 May
HVV Hollandia
2 : 2
Huizen
23 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 0
Huizen
16 May
Huizen
1 : 0
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)