Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Urk and VV Hoogeveen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV Hoogeveen come out ahead of Urk on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Urk Clean Sheet 11%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urk | VV Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.87 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Urk vs VV Hoogeveen
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Urk
5:2
Mar 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs VV Hoogeveen
4:1
Oct 28, 2023 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Urk
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urk 30 / 100
VV Hoogeveen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urk VV Hoogeveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Hoogeveen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Urk found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Urk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Urk VS VV Hoogeveen
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Urk
(Home) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
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23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
18 Apr
Urk
3 : 3 Huizen
28 Mar
Urk
4 : 5 Sparta Nijkerk
14 Mar
Urk
4 : 0 VV Hoogeveen
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VV Hoogeveen
(Away) 12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
22 Aug
VV Scherpenzeel
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
22 Aug
VV Scherpenzeel
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
16 May
Huizen
1 : 0 VV Hoogeveen
25 Apr
Sparta Nijkerk
6 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
