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Ursaria vs AD Llerenense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Ursaria Logo

Ursaria

0 - 0
FT
AD Llerenense Logo

AD Llerenense

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Vicente I.
61'
Vicente I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ursaria
15%
Draws
57%
AD Llerenense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ursaria haven't matched AD Llerenense's recent run of results.
  • Ursaria are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 20%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursaria AD Llerenense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
AD Llerenense vs Ursaria
0:2
Nov 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ursaria vs AD Llerenense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursaria 36 / 100
AD Llerenense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursaria AD Llerenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursaria found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

AD Llerenense has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ursaria stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Llerenense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ursaria

(Home)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

AD Llerenense

(Away)
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1
AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 17 10 7 46:27 61
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 16 13 5 61:26 61
3 Numancia 34 18 6 10 51:39 60
4 Getafe B 34 15 12 7 41:32 57
5 Atletico Paso 34 15 11 8 28:21 56
6 Cacereno 34 12 13 9 43:37 49
7 Union Adarve 34 12 12 10 44:44 48
8 Navalcarnero 34 11 13 10 34:35 46
9 CF Talavera 34 12 10 12 31:27 46
10 Guadalajara 34 14 4 16 46:53 46
11 Villanovense 34 12 8 14 35:35 44
12 Ursaria 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
13 Illescas 34 11 11 12 34:32 44
14 AD Llerenense 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
15 UD San Fernando 34 9 11 14 31:43 38
16 CD Badajoz 34 8 13 13 35:39 37
17 Mensajero 34 5 10 19 28:58 25
18 Montijo 34 6 5 23 28:58 23
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)