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Stadium Background

Ursaria vs Cayon CD

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sanz Oti D.
29' Event
Diaz C.
Assist: Lopez A.
46'
Sub
Garcia H. In: Alcalde J.
Out: Garcia H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Cayon CD advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ursaria
15%
Draws
53%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of Ursaria on wins alone.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cayon CD arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cayon CD, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 22%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursaria Cayon CD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2023 Copa del Rey
Ursaria vs Cayon CD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz Oti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alonso H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursaria 32 / 100
Cayon CD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursaria Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursaria scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cayon CD let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ursaria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cayon CD
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ursaria

(Home)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Compostela -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Tudelano -
TBD -
TBD -
Recreativo Huelva -
Manacor -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
Real Aviles -
TBD -
TBD -
Arenteiro -
Hercules -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Valle Egues -
TBD -
TBD -
Teruel -
CD Monte 0
CD Boiro 1
TBD -
Mallorca -
UCAM Murcia -
TBD -
TBD -
Linares -
CE Europa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche -
Orihuela -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimnastic de Tarragona -
San Roque de Lepe -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
Manchego Ciudad Real -
TBD -
TBD -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Yeclano -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanluqueno -
Pradejon 1
Atletico de Lugones 2
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcorcon -
CD Azuaga -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
UD Logrones -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
Varea -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amorebieta -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Sestao -
Turegano 3
Santurtzi 1
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Cacereno -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
CE Manresa -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Barakaldo -
TBD -
TBD -
Malaga -
Jaen -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
Andratx -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarazona -
Ceuta 6 de Junio 0
CD Bunol 3
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Antoniano -
TBD -
TBD -
Lugo -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Arandina -
TBD -
TBD -
Murcia -
Som Maresme -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Mensajero -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Pena Deportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Atzeneta -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Tardienta 2
Zirauki 1
TBD -
Getafe -
Marbella -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Ferrol -
AD Llerenense -
TBD -
TBD -
Leganes -
Atletico Astorga -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Andorra -
Quintanar de la Orden 1
Union Zona Norte 0
TBD -
Sevilla -
Naxara -
TBD -
TBD -
Melilla -
Lorca Deportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Ursaria -
TBD -
TBD -
Cayon CD -
UE Rubi 1
Rotlet Molinar 0
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Terrassa -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Melilla CD 1
Deportivo Murcia 3
TBD -
Alaves -
Villanovense -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ibiza -
Hernan Cortes 3
Sauzal 1
TBD -
Betis -
Gernika Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
Zamora -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Mijas Las Lagunas 0
Chiclana 1
TBD -
Villarreal -
UD Barbastro -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
CF Talavera -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
1/64-finals
Covadonga 1
Dep. A Coruna 3
Compostela 0
Tenerife 1
Tudelano 1
Recreativo Huelva 0
Manacor 0
Las Palmas 3
Real Aviles 0
Arenteiro 1
Hercules 1
Burgos CF 2
Valle Egues 1
Teruel 0
CD Boiro 0
Mallorca 4
UCAM Murcia 0
Linares 1
CE Europa 0
Elche 2
Orihuela 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona 0
San Roque de Lepe 1
Girona 2
Manchego Ciudad Real 1
Antequera 3
Aguilas FC 0
Huesca 1
Yeclano 2
Sanluqueno 0
Atletico de Lugones 0
Rayo Vallecano 6
Navalcarnero 0
Alcorcon 1
CD Azuaga 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Arosa SC 3
Granada CF 0
UD Logrones 0
Valencia 2
Varea 0
Levante 3
TBD -
Amorebieta -
Gimnastica Segoviana 3
Sestao 4
Turegano 0
Celta Vigo 4
Cacereno 2
Castellon 3
CE Manresa 1
Real Oviedo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Barakaldo 0
Malaga 1
Jaen 2
Eldense 3
Andratx 3
Tarazona 2
CD Bunol 0
Real Sociedad 1
Antoniano 0
Lugo 1
Utebo FC 1
Mirandes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Arandina 1
Murcia 0
Som Maresme 0
Cadiz 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Mensajero 0
Espanyol 2
Pena Deportiva 1
Valladolid 5
Atzeneta 2
Zaragoza 1
Tardienta 0
Getafe 12
Marbella 1
Racing Club Ferrol 3
AD Llerenense 0
Leganes 2
Atletico Astorga 1
FC Andorra 0
Quintanar de la Orden 0
Sevilla 3
Naxara 1
Melilla 2
Lorca Deportiva 0
Eibar 4
Ursaria 1
Cayon CD 2
UE Rubi 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Terrassa 1
Albacete 0
Deportivo Murcia 0
Alaves 10
Villanovense 2
UD Ibiza 1
Hernan Cortes 1
Betis 12
Gernika Club 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Guijuelo 0
Gijon 3
Zamora 3
Racing Santander 2
Chiclana 0
Villarreal 5
UD Barbastro 1
Ponferradina 0
CF Talavera 0
Almeria 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
1/32-finals
Dep. A Coruna 2
Tenerife 3
Tudelano 1
Las Palmas 2
Arenteiro 1
Burgos CF 3
Valle Egues 0
Mallorca 3
Linares 1
Elche 3
Orihuela 2
Girona 5
Antequera 0
Huesca 2
Yeclano 0
Rayo Vallecano 2
Alcorcon 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Arosa SC 0
Valencia 1
Levante 0
Amorebieta 1
Sestao 1
Celta Vigo 2
Castellon 2
Real Oviedo 1
TBD -
Osasuna -
Malaga 1
Eldense 0
Andratx 0
Real Sociedad 1
Lugo 2
Mirandes 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Arandina 2
Cadiz 1
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Espanyol 3
Valladolid 1
Atzeneta 1
Getafe 2
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Leganes 0
Atletico Astorga 0
Sevilla 2
Melilla 1
Eibar 2
Cayon CD 0
Ath Bilbao 3
Terrassa 0
Alaves 1
Villanovense 1
Betis 2
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Gijon 0
Zamora 1
Villarreal 2
UD Barbastro 1
Almeria 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
1/16-finals
Tenerife 2
Las Palmas 0
Burgos CF 0
Mallorca 3
Elche 0
Girona 2
Huesca 0
Rayo Vallecano 2
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Valencia 2
Amorebieta 2
Celta Vigo 4
Castellon 0
Osasuna 1
Malaga 0
Real Sociedad 1
Lugo 1
Atl. Madrid 3
Arandina 1
Real Madrid 3
Espanyol 0
Getafe 1
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Sevilla 2
Eibar 0
Ath Bilbao 3
Alaves 1
Betis 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Villarreal 1
UD Barbastro 2
Barcelona 3
1/8-finals
Tenerife 0
Mallorca 1
Girona 3
Rayo Vallecano 1
Valencia 1
Celta Vigo 3
Osasuna 0
Real Sociedad 2
Atl. Madrid 4
Real Madrid 2
Getafe 1
Sevilla 3
Ath Bilbao 2
Alaves 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
Barcelona 3
Quarter-finals
Mallorca 3
Girona 2
Celta Vigo 1
Real Sociedad 2
Atl. Madrid 1
Sevilla 0
Ath Bilbao 4
Barcelona 2
Semi-finals
Mallorca 2
Real Sociedad 1
Atl. Madrid 0
Ath Bilbao 4
Final
Mallorca 1
Ath Bilbao 2