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Ursaria vs CD Badajoz

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Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Ursaria Logo

Ursaria

1 - 0
FT
CD Badajoz Logo

CD Badajoz

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Lopez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ursaria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ursaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ursaria
15%
Draws
57%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz have won more games recently than Ursaria.
  • CD Badajoz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursaria CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ursaria vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Badajoz vs Ursaria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CD Badajoz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursaria 18 / 100
CD Badajoz 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursaria CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursaria found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CD Badajoz conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Ursaria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Badajoz
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ursaria

(Home)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 17 10 7 46:27 61
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 16 13 5 61:26 61
3 Numancia 34 18 6 10 51:39 60
4 Getafe B 34 15 12 7 41:32 57
5 Atletico Paso 34 15 11 8 28:21 56
6 Cacereno 34 12 13 9 43:37 49
7 Union Adarve 34 12 12 10 44:44 48
8 Navalcarnero 34 11 13 10 34:35 46
9 CF Talavera 34 12 10 12 31:27 46
10 Guadalajara 34 14 4 16 46:53 46
11 Villanovense 34 12 8 14 35:35 44
12 Ursaria 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
13 Illescas 34 11 11 12 34:32 44
14 AD Llerenense 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
15 UD San Fernando 34 9 11 14 31:43 38
16 CD Badajoz 34 8 13 13 35:39 37
17 Mensajero 34 5 10 19 28:58 25
18 Montijo 34 6 5 23 28:58 23
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)