Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ciach A.
41' Event
Pyrzyna O.
Penalty Missed
79' Event
Dzielak F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ursus Warszawa
44%
Draws
20%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swit Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Ursus Warszawa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 20%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursus Warszawa Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:2
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa
3:0
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa
3:0
Aug 22, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzielak F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muszynski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciach A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 36 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursus Warszawa Swit Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ursus Warszawa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.

Recent resilience: Ursus Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Swit Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lodz II34208676:4168
2Legionowo341810671:4364
3Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki341810662:3964
4Swit Mazowiecki34187966:4561
5Legia II341510966:4855
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341510951:4355
7Unia Skierniewice341581141:3853
8MKS Mlawa341571283:7152
9Jagiellonia II3413101165:5449
10Pilica Bialobrzegi341291353:5545
11Pelikan341291356:5245
12Sokol Ostroda341061849:7136
13Olimpia Zambrow34991640:6336
14Bron Radom34981760:7635
15Warta Sieradz348101639:5334
16Concordia Elblag34891738:6133
17Blonianka Blonie34862035:6830
18Ursus Warszawa345101942:7225