Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ursus Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bartosinski J.
68' Event
Lapinski S.

AI Match Summary

Ursus Warszawa host Unia Skierniewice in the III Liga - Group I 2022/2023. Unia Skierniewice go into this one as the clear favorite. Ursus Warszawa have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Unia Skierniewice's 2.25 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Unia Skierniewice slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2023, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.68) point toward Unia Skierniewice. Unia Skierniewice in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ursus Warszawa
33%
Draws
40%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ursus Warszawa.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Unia Skierniewice.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 13%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursus Warszawa Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 28
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
0:1
Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Ursus Warszawa
2:0
May 4, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:1
Aug 28, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Ursus Warszawa
1:2
Oct 31, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapinski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 27 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursus Warszawa Unia Skierniewice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursus Warszawa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 63% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ursus Warszawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Unia Skierniewice lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Unia Skierniewice
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lodz II34208676:4168
2Legionowo341810671:4364
3Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki341810662:3964
4Swit Mazowiecki34187966:4561
5Legia II341510966:4855
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341510951:4355
7Unia Skierniewice341581141:3853
8MKS Mlawa341571283:7152
9Jagiellonia II3413101165:5449
10Pilica Bialobrzegi341291353:5545
11Pelikan341291356:5245
12Sokol Ostroda341061849:7136
13Olimpia Zambrow34991640:6336
14Bron Radom34981760:7635
15Warta Sieradz348101639:5334
16Concordia Elblag34891738:6133
17Blonianka Blonie34862035:6830
18Ursus Warszawa345101942:7225