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URT vs Cruzeiro

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estadio Zama Maciel, Patos de Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
William Furtado
24'
Gabriel Moyses
25'
Sub
Leandro Silva In: Peloggia M.
Out: Leandro Silva

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro game between URT and Cruzeiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
URT
15%
Draws
34%
Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro come out ahead of URT on wins alone.
  • Model gives URT a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cruzeiro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
URT Clean Sheet 19%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Cruzeiro
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.06 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.81 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Mineiro
URT vs Cruzeiro
1:2
Jan 26, 2022 Mineiro
Cruzeiro vs URT
3:0
Mar 7, 2021 Mineiro
URT vs Cruzeiro
0:2
Jul 26, 2020 Mineiro
Cruzeiro vs URT
3:0
Feb 24, 2019 Mineiro
URT vs Cruzeiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Peloggia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaio Jorge
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arroyo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 42 / 100
Cruzeiro 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: URT scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Cruzeiro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Cruzeiro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cruzeiro
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

Cruzeiro

(Away)
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
26 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1
Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 8 3 5 0 16:8 14
2 URT 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
3 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
4 Democrata GV 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
2 Pouso Alegre 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
3 Tombense 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Betim FC 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 5 0 3 14:7 15
2 North Esporte Clube 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
3 Itabirito 8 2 1 5 10:17 7
4 Athletic Club 8 1 4 3 7:13 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)