Sport Picks

Stadium Background

URT vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estadio Zama Maciel, Patos de Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Bryan Garcia
10' Event
Gabriel Moyses
(Penalty)
30'
Ribeiro A. C.

AI Match Summary

URT in this Mineiro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
URT
15%
Draws
42%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • URT have won more games recently than Itabirito.
  • URT are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors URT here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
URT Clean Sheet 68%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Itabirito
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Mineiro
URT vs Itabirito
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Mineiro 2
Itabirito vs URT
2:0
Jul 15, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Itabirito
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Itabirito
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Moyses
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Itabirito Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevlin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 50 / 100
Itabirito 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Itabirito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: URT scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Itabirito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Itabirito has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Itabirito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
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Itabirito

(Away)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 8 3 5 0 16:8 14
2 URT 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
3 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
4 Democrata GV 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
2 Pouso Alegre 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
3 Tombense 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Betim FC 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 5 0 3 14:7 15
2 North Esporte Clube 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
3 Itabirito 8 2 1 5 10:17 7
4 Athletic Club 8 1 4 3 7:13 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)