Sport Picks

Stadium Background

URT vs Tombense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estadio Zama Maciel, Patos de Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Andrade F.
Assist: Cesar
17'
Julio Henrique
19'
Wesley

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
URT
30%
Draws
35%
Tombense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to URT lately — more wins on the board than Tombense.
  • Model gives Tombense a 35% chance of winning this.
  • URT have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor URT, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
URT Clean Sheet 19%
Tombense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Tombense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Mineiro
URT vs Tombense
3:1
Feb 20, 2026 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Moyses
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tombense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 28 / 100
Tombense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Tombense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tombense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

URT's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tombense conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

URT went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Tombense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

Tombense

(Away)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
North Esporte Clube 3
URT 1
Semi-finals
Uberlandia 1
North Esporte Clube 2
Tombense 1
URT 4