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URT vs Uniao Luziense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

URT play Uniao Luziense in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, URT averaged 1 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Uniao Luziense averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, URT won 2, Uniao Luziense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 8, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.90 for URT and 0.53 for Uniao Luziense. This points to a URT double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
URT
33%
Draws
21%
Uniao Luziense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • URT picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Luziense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.90 vs 0.53 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
URT Clean Sheet 30%
Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Uniao Luziense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2023 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs URT
0:1
Apr 30, 2008 Mineiro 2
URT vs Uniao Luziense
1:1
Mar 16, 2008 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs URT
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 47 / 100
Uniao Luziense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Uniao Luziense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: URT or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

URT attacking → ← attacking Uniao Luziense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

URT scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Uniao Luziense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

URT went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Luziense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 26
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515