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URT vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bismarck
(Penalty)
58' Event
Gabriel Jordan
75' Event
Vinicius Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between URT and Varginha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varginha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
URT
44%
Draws
20%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Varginha on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
URT Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Varginha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:2
May 3, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:1
May 19, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
1:1
May 13, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Jordan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 36 / 100
Varginha 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varginha conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

URT scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: URT remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Varginha
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
13% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patrocinense105237:617
2URT1044211:816
3Mamore1034311:1113
4Uberaba1025311:1111
5Caldense102539:1011
6Varginha102449:1210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipatinga1052311:1017
2North Esporte Clube1044217:1316
3Democrata SL103439:813
4Valeriodoce1034312:1213
5Guarani-MG1033410:1012
6Nacional de Muriae1023510:169