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URT vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bismarck
(Penalty)
58' Event
Gabriel Jordan
75' Event
Vinicius Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between URT and Varginha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varginha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
URT
30%
Draws
42%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Varginha on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
URT Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Varginha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:2
May 3, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
1:1
May 19, 2024 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs URT
1:1
May 13, 2023 Mineiro 2
URT vs Varginha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Varginha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Jordan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 36 / 100
Varginha 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varginha conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

URT scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: URT remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Varginha
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
13% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)