Sport Picks
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Tacuarembo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Segunda Division 
Match Events
2'
2'
Rodriguez L.
57'
57'
Lucao
58'
58'
Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division game between Uruguay Montevideo FC and Tacuarembo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tacuarembo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Uruguay Montevideo FC's 0.93 goals per match outpaces what Tacuarembo have produced (0.8).
- Model gives Tacuarembo a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 18%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uruguay Montevideo FC | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Tacuarembo
2:2
Jun 7, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Tacuarembo
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Tacuarembo
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Tacuarembo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals Assists Leader Camargo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uruguay Montevideo FC 28 / 100
Tacuarembo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uruguay Montevideo FC Tacuarembo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tacuarembo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uruguay Montevideo FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tacuarembo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Uruguay Montevideo FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uruguay Montevideo FC VS Tacuarembo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Uruguay Montevideo FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Colon
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Colon
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0 La Luz
15 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 2 Atenas
Page 1 of 4
Tacuarembo
(Away) 10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1 Tacuarembo
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1 Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1 Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1 Tacuarembo
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
29 Aug
Colon
1 : 0 Tacuarembo
16 Aug
Rentistas
0 : 1 Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 40 |
| 2 | River Plate Montevideo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:27 | 33 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 33 |
| 4 | Colon | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 23:24 | 33 |
| 5 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 32 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Paysandu FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 10 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | 27 |
| 11 | Huracan FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17:25 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20:34 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
