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Stadium Background

Uruguay U17 vs Bolivia U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Fernandez F.
23'
Sub
Philippin A. In: Borda C.
Out: Philippin A.
43' Event
Maraude J.
Assist: Perez D.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U17 2025 game between Uruguay U17 and Bolivia U17 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolivia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uruguay U17
30%
Draws
29%
Bolivia U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uruguay U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uruguay U17 come out ahead of Bolivia U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uruguay U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uruguay U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uruguay U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Bolivia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 Bolivia U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Bolivia U17
0:1
Mar 3, 2017 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Bolivia U17
2:0
Mar 6, 2015 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Bolivia U17
4:1
Apr 11, 2013 South American Championship U17
Bolivia U17 vs Uruguay U17
1:5
Mar 16, 2011 South American Championship U17
Bolivia U17 vs Uruguay U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bolivia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maraude J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 85 / 100
Bolivia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 Bolivia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bolivia U17 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Uruguay U17 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Uruguay U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U17 VS Bolivia U17
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
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Bolivia U17

(Away)
18 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Bolivia U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Argentina U17
1 : 1
Bolivia U17
08 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 0
Peru U17
06 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 2
Venezuela U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U17 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Chile U17 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Argentina U17 4 2 0 2 12:6 6
4 Paraguay U17 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 0:17 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Venezuela U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ecuador U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Bolivia U17 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Uruguay U17 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)