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Uruguay U17 W vs Venezuela U17 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uruguay U17 W play Venezuela U17 W in the South American Championship Women U17 2018. Venezuela U17 W are favorites here. Recently, Uruguay U17 W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Venezuela U17 W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Uruguay U17 W won 0, Venezuela U17 W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Uruguay U17 W and 1.38 for Venezuela U17 W. This points to a Venezuela U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Uruguay U17 W
16%
Draws
57%
Venezuela U17 W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Venezuela U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Uruguay U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Venezuela U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Uruguay U17 W Clean Sheet 17%
Venezuela U17 W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 W Venezuela U17 W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Venezuela U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W
2:0
Mar 23, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Uruguay U17 W vs Venezuela U17 W
0:2
Mar 8, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Venezuela U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W
0:0
Sep 21, 2013 South American Championship Women U17
Uruguay U17 W vs Venezuela U17 W
0:3
Feb 1, 2010 South American Championship Women U17
Uruguay U17 W vs Venezuela U17 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Venezuela U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivieri B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arguelles W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 W 28 / 100
Venezuela U17 W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 W Venezuela U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Venezuela U17 W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uruguay U17 W attacking → ← attacking Venezuela U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay U17 W scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Venezuela U17 W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uruguay U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Venezuela U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 38
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brazil U17 W32015:26
2Colombia U17 W31113:24
3Uruguay U17 W31113:44
4Venezuela U17 W31022:53