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Uruguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Games Women U20
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Munoz C.
Assist: Garcia G.
79' Event
Tola O.
Assist: Vidiella E.
82' Event
Alvarez A.
Assist: Pardo V.

AI Match Summary

Chile U20 W in this South American Games Women U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Uruguay U20 W
15%
Draws
68%
Chile U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Chile U20 W have won more games recently than Uruguay U20 W.
  • Model gives Chile U20 W a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chile U20 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Uruguay U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
Chile U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U20 W Chile U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 South American Games Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
1:3
Sep 10, 2026 Friendly International Women
Chile U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
2:1
Sep 8, 2026 Friendly International Women
Chile U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Chile U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International Women
Uruguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tola O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chile U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U20 W 10 / 100
Chile U20 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U20 W Chile U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Uruguay U20 W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Uruguay U20 W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U20 W VS Chile U20 W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U20 W

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
1 : 2
Uruguay U20 W
20 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
1 : 0
Uruguay U20 W
18 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
16 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
1 : 3
Chile U20 W
10 Sept
Chile U20 W
2 : 1
Uruguay U20 W
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Chile U20 W

(Away)
23 Sept
Chile U20 W
1 : 2
Venezuela U20 W
21 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
2 : 3
Chile U20 W
18 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
0 : 3
Chile U20 W
16 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
1 : 3
Chile U20 W
10 Sept
Chile U20 W
2 : 1
Uruguay U20 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Venezuela U20 W 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Paraguay U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Uruguay U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - South American Games Women U20 (Play Offs)