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Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Games Women U20
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Match Events

89' Event
Saldivar L.
Assist: Cardozo L. M.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U20 W in this South American Games Women U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uruguay U20 W
15%
Draws
42%
Paraguay U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uruguay U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay U20 W have won more games recently than Uruguay U20 W.
  • Model gives Uruguay U20 W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular South American Games Women U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Uruguay U20 W Clean Sheet 18%
Paraguay U20 W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U20 W Paraguay U20 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 South American Games Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
1:2
Sep 18, 2026 South American Games Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Paraguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Saldivar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U20 W 58 / 100
Paraguay U20 W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U20 W Paraguay U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U20 W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Paraguay U20 W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U20 W scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U20 W VS Paraguay U20 W
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U20 W

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
1 : 2
Uruguay U20 W
20 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
1 : 0
Uruguay U20 W
18 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
16 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
1 : 3
Chile U20 W
10 Sept
Chile U20 W
2 : 1
Uruguay U20 W
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Paraguay U20 W

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
1 : 2
Uruguay U20 W
21 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
2 : 3
Chile U20 W
18 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
16 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
2 : 0
Paraguay U20 W
28 Feb
Ecuador U20 W
5 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Venezuela U20 W 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Paraguay U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Uruguay U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - South American Games Women U20 (Play Offs)