Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U23 vs Chile U23

World World

Olympic Games
Uruguay U23 Logo

Uruguay U23

0 - 1
FT
Chile U23 Logo

Chile U23

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Araujo C.
46'
Sub
Ponte M. In: Boselli S.
Out: Ponte M.
46'
Sub
Abaldo M. In: Sanchez R.
Out: Abaldo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chile U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Uruguay U23
15%
Draws
59%
Chile U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Chile U23 have won more games recently than Uruguay U23.
  • Uruguay U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Olympic Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U23 Chile U23
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Olympic Games
Uruguay U23 vs Chile U23
0:1
Oct 26, 2023 Pan American Games
Chile U23 vs Uruguay U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U23 68 / 100
Chile U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U23 Chile U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Chile U23 let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Uruguay U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U23 VS Chile U23
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

Chile U23

(Away)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)