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Uruguay U23 vs Paraguay U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Rodriguez V.
6'
Leguizamon I.
19'
Flores G.

AI Match Summary

Uruguay U23 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uruguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Uruguay U23
20%
Draws
16%
Paraguay U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uruguay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraguay U23 lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay U23.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uruguay U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U23 Paraguay U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2024 Olympic Games
Paraguay U23 vs Uruguay U23
4:3
Jan 13, 2024 Friendly International
Uruguay U23 vs Paraguay U23
4:1
Jan 19, 2020 Olympic Games
Uruguay U23 vs Paraguay U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Homenchenko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U23 95 / 100
Paraguay U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U23 Paraguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U23 scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Paraguay U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Paraguay U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U23 VS Paraguay U23
2.17 Goals Scored 1.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
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Paraguay U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
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