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Uruguay W vs Argentina W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lacoste S.
48' Event
Pereyra M.
55'
Rosa W.

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Uruguay W and Argentina W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Uruguay W
30%
Draws
51%
Argentina W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Uruguay W haven't matched Argentina W's recent run of results.
  • Argentina W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 12%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay W Argentina W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Argentina W
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
3:2
Jul 15, 2025 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Argentina W
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
1:1
Jul 10, 2024 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Uruguay W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacoste S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aquino B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay W 27 / 100
Argentina W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay W Argentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uruguay W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Argentina W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Uruguay W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay W VS Argentina W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay W

(Home)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
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Argentina W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)