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Uruguay W vs Peru W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Uruguay W Logo

Uruguay W

1 - 0
FT
Peru W Logo

Peru W

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Tregartten S.
33'
Canales X.
43'
Guedes I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uruguay W
30%
Draws
47%
Peru W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uruguay W come out ahead of Peru W on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Peru W taking it.
  • Uruguay W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uruguay W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay W Peru W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Peru W vs Uruguay W
2:1
Jul 18, 2025 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
3:0
Apr 7, 2023 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
6:1
Jul 19, 2022 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Uruguay W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Peru W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay W 24 / 100
Peru W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay W Peru W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Uruguay W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Uruguay W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay W VS Peru W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay W

(Home)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Peru W

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)