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Urumajo vs Izabelense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Sat, Jun 27, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Urumajo
20%
Draws
35%
Izabelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urumajo lately — more wins on the board than Izabelense.
  • Model gives Urumajo a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Urumajo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Urumajo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 19%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urumajo Izabelense
Matches Played 17 21
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Izabelense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urumajo 67 / 100
Izabelense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urumajo Izabelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urumajo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Recent resilience: Urumajo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Izabelense conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Urumajo VS Izabelense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urumajo

(Home)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
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Izabelense

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Urumajo 4
Santos PA 0
Caete 0
Paragominas 4
Independente 0
Itupiranga 1
Carajas 1
Izabelense 3
Semi-finals
Urumajo 3
Paragominas 2
Itupiranga 1
Izabelense 2
Final
Urumajo 2
Izabelense 1