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Urumajo vs Pinheirense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Urumajo Logo

Urumajo

2 - 0
FT
Pinheirense Logo

Pinheirense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between Urumajo and Pinheirense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urumajo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Urumajo
35%
Draws
21%
Pinheirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urumajo come out ahead of Pinheirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Urumajo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 20%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urumajo Pinheirense
Matches Played 17 24
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 10
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 Paraense A2
Pinheirense vs Urumajo
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Pinheirense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urumajo 85 / 100
Pinheirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urumajo Pinheirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urumajo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (17 games).

Solid form: Urumajo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pinheirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Urumajo VS Pinheirense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Urumajo

(Home)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
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Pinheirense

(Away)
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
22 Jun
Paragominas
3 : 1
Pinheirense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)