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US Bougouni vs Mali Coura

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali Coura in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali Coura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
US Bougouni
11%
Draws
80%
Mali Coura
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mali Coura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to US Bougouni lately — more wins on the board than Mali Coura.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Mali Coura taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 17%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Mali Coura
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs US Bougouni
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Mali Coura
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 12 / 100
Mali Coura 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Mali Coura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mali Coura conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

US Bougouni found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

US Bougouni went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Mali Coura
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Bougouni

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Mali Coura

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)