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US Bougouni vs Real Bamako Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
US Bougouni Logo

US Bougouni

1 - 1
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
US Bougouni
20%
Draws
63%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • US Bougouni haven't matched Real Bamako's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Bamako's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 16%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Real Bamako
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Real Bamako
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs US Bougouni
2:0
Apr 29, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs US Bougouni
4:0
Jan 6, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Real Bamako
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Real Bamako
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 10 / 100
Real Bamako 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

US Bougouni's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Bamako has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: US Bougouni stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Real Bamako
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Bougouni

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Real Bamako

(Away)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)