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US Bougouni vs Stade Malien

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between US Bougouni and Stade Malien finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
US Bougouni
15%
Draws
65%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stade Malien come out ahead of US Bougouni on wins alone.
  • Stade Malien are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Stade Malien
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.43 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs US Bougouni
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Stade Malien
0:0
May 19, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs US Bougouni
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Stade Malien
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Stade Malien
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 10 / 100
Stade Malien 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: US Bougouni scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Stade Malien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 35% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

US Bougouni has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Stade Malien
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

US Bougouni

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Stade Malien

(Away)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)