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US Goree vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
US Goree Logo

US Goree

0 - 0
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
US Goree
35%
Draws
30%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • US Goree have won more games recently than Mbour.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on US Goree taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
US Goree Clean Sheet 68%
Mbour Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Goree Mbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 15 18
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Mbour
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs US Goree
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Mbour vs US Goree
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Mbour
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs US Goree
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Goree 51 / 100
Mbour 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Goree Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: US Goree stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: US Goree scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Mbour's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

US Goree VS Mbour
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Goree

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)