Sport Picks
US Pontedera vs Lucchese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lipari M.
14'
14'
Italeng J.
20'
20'
Rizzo N.
AI Match Summary
US Pontedera in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Pontedera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucchese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Lucchese have won more games recently than US Pontedera.
- Model gives Lucchese a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 16%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Pontedera | Lucchese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Lucchese
4:1
Nov 25, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs US Pontedera
2:1
Mar 6, 2024 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Lucchese
2:2
Oct 29, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs US Pontedera
1:2
Jan 15, 2023 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Lucchese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Italeng J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Lipari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Lucchese Compare
Top Goalscorer Selvini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Pontedera 10 / 100
Lucchese 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Pontedera Lucchese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lucchese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: US Pontedera scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Lucchese conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: US Pontedera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
US Pontedera VS Lucchese
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
US Pontedera
(Home) 20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 0 Bra
Page 1 of 3
Lucchese
(Away) 27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0 Lucchese
10 May
Sestri Levante
2 : 1 Lucchese
23 Apr
Arezzo
4 : 1 Lucchese
05 Apr
US Pontedera
4 : 1 Lucchese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
