Sport Picks
US Pontedera vs Ternana
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera 
Match Events
6'
6'
Pettinari S.
46'
46'
Sub
Wagner G. In: Raychev A.
Out: Wagner G.
46'
46'
Sub
Vitali P. In: Yeboah P.
Out: Vitali P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between US Pontedera and Ternana finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ternana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- US Pontedera haven't matched Ternana's recent run of results.
- 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 19%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Pontedera | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ternana
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs US Pontedera
2:1
Jan 6, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs US Pontedera
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Ternana
1:2
Jul 22, 2022 Club Friendly
US Pontedera vs Ternana
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Pontedera 36 / 100
Ternana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Pontedera Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ternana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
US Pontedera's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: US Pontedera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
US Pontedera VS Ternana
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
US Pontedera
(Home) 12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
18 Apr
Sambenedettese
2 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
03 Apr
Carpi
2 : 0 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 0 Bra
14 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Guidonia 1937
04 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
14 Mar
Vis Pesaro
1 : 0 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
