Sport Picks
US Tolentino vs Fano
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2022/2023 
Match Events
45'
45'
Brunetti G.
81'
81'
Vitiello D.
87'
87'
Zanni N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with US Tolentino advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Tolentino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Fano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Fano a 37% chance of winning this.
- Fano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 20%
Fano Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Tolentino | Fano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs US Tolentino
2:0
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
US Tolentino vs Fano
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Fano
0:0
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Fano
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs US Tolentino
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Tolentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitiello D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Fano Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanni N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Tolentino 24 / 100
Fano 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Tolentino Fano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: US Tolentino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
US Tolentino scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Fano
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
US Tolentino
(Home) 29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0 US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Roma City
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
02 Apr
US Tolentino
0 : 1 Nuova Florida
12 Mar
US Tolentino
0 : 1 Calcio Chieti
26 Feb
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 3
Fano
(Away) 05 May
Fano
5 : 2 Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0 Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1 Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0 Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2 Fano
Page 1 of 8
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0 Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1 Fano
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2 Fano
24 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
5 : 1 Fano
10 Mar
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Fano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
