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US Tolentino vs Roma City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Tizi L.

AI Match Summary

US Tolentino in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Tolentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
US Tolentino
44%
Draws
20%
Roma City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Roma City lately — more wins on the board than US Tolentino.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 24%
Roma City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tolentino Roma City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Roma City
1:0
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs US Tolentino
1:1
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Roma City
3:0
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs US Tolentino
1:0
May 5, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Roma City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Tizi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Roma City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 37 / 100
Roma City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tolentino Roma City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

US Tolentino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

US Tolentino's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roma City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pineto34219450:2172
2Vigor Senigallia34207752:3467
3Trastevere Calcio34188856:4162
4Fano341861045:3460
5Cynthialbalonga341313832:2352
6Matese3412111144:3847
7Sambenedettese341381339:3746
8Calcio Chieti3412101229:2746
9Porto D'Ascoli341015928:2745
10Vastogirardi3410131130:3142
11Nuova Florida341191433:4442
12Avezzano341171635:4140
13Roma City349101529:4237
14Vastese348121437:4336
15Termoli345191025:3434
16Notaresco Calcio346131523:4131
17Montegiorgio347101721:3431
18US Tolentino347101725:4131