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USA U20 W vs Canada U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
USA U20 W Logo

USA U20 W

0 - 1
FT
Canada U20 W Logo

Canada U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Larouche L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
USA U20 W
20%
Draws
51%
Canada U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Canada U20 W haven't matched USA U20 W's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on USA U20 W taking it.
  • USA U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20 W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA U20 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 16%
Canada U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Canada U20 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.53 4.07
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Canada U20 W
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Friendly International Women
USA U20 W vs Canada U20 W
3:1
May 30, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Canada U20 W
5:2
Mar 4, 2020 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Canada U20 W
4:0
Dec 14, 2015 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Canada U20 W vs USA U20 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Canada U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larouche L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 48 / 100
Canada U20 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Canada U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Canada U20 W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

USA U20 W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 W VS Canada U20 W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
Brazil U20 W
2 : 1
USA U20 W
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
USA U20 W
1 : 2
Italy U20 W
13 Jul
USA U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
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Canada U20 W

(Away)
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 3
Canada U20 W
11 Sept
Tanzania U20 W
0 : 6
Canada U20 W
08 Sept
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
Canada U20 W
05 Sept
Canada U20 W
1 : 1
England U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U20 W 4
Costa Rica U20 W 0
USA U20 W 0
Canada U20 W 1
Final
Mexico U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 3