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USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2023 Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Aikey J. A.
45' Event
Klenke L.
Penalty Missed
49' Event
Martinho L.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2023 game between USA U20 W and Costa Rica U20 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USA U20 W
6%
Draws
4%
Costa Rica U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USA U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • USA U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives USA U20 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and USA U20 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Rica U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Costa Rica U20 W
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 29 17
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
4:0
Jun 2, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
2:1
Jan 10, 2014 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
6:0
Jan 28, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
USA U20 W vs Costa Rica U20 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aikey J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinho L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Costa Rica U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 95 / 100
Costa Rica U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Costa Rica U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 W scored in 87% of their last 39 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Costa Rica U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

USA U20 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 W VS Costa Rica U20 W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
USA U20 W2
Costa Rica U20 W1
Mexico U20 W2
Canada U20 W1
Final
USA U20 W1
Mexico U20 W2
Costa Rica U20 W3
Canada U20 W5