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USA U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International Športni center Rogaška Slatina, Rogaska Slatina
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gusol A.
28' Event
Brennan L.
Assist: Campbell C.
40'
Vydysh R.

AI Match Summary

USA U21 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USA U21
15%
Draws
26%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U21 have won more games recently than USA U21.
  • Win probability leans USA U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
USA U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
USA U21 vs Ukraine U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brennan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Downs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gusol A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U21 95 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

USA U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Ukraine U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: USA U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U21 VS Ukraine U21
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U21

(Home)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
South Korea U23
1 : 4
USA U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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