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USA U23 vs Guinea U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 Torremirona Sport Center, Navata
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Harriel N.
45' Event
Busio G.
51' Event
Gomez J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between USA U23 and Guinea U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
USA U23
15%
Draws
39%
Guinea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U23 come out ahead of Guinea U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USA U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
USA U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U23 Guinea U23
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.27 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
USA U23 vs Guinea U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harriel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Busio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guinea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U23 58 / 100
Guinea U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U23 Guinea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Guinea U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: USA U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USA U23 VS Guinea U23
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U23

(Home)
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
12 Jun
USA U23
0 : 2
Japan U23
25 Mar
France U23
2 : 2
USA U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
21 Nov
Morocco U23
1 : 0
USA U23
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Guinea U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Argentina U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
09 May
Indonesia U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
07 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
04 Jul
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
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