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USA U23 vs Iraq U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Bassett C.
30' Event
Cremaschi B.
Assist: Bassett C.
46'
Sub
Tessmann T. In: Busio G.
Out: Tessmann T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between USA U23 and Iraq U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
USA U23
15%
Draws
0%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq U23 come out ahead of USA U23 on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on USA U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
USA U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Friendly International
USA U23 vs Iraq U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cremaschi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U23 84 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Iraq U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: USA U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Iraq U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Iraq U23
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U23

(Home)
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
12 Jun
USA U23
0 : 2
Japan U23
25 Mar
France U23
2 : 2
USA U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
21 Nov
Morocco U23
1 : 0
USA U23
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Iraq U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
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