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11'
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Burgess C.
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16'
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Bos J.
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Circati A.
AI Match Summary
USA in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to USA lately — more wins on the board than Australia.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on USA taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors USA here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
USA Clean Sheet 68%
Australia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USA | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 19, 2026 World Championship
USA vs Australia
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Friendly International
USA vs Australia
2:1
Jun 5, 2010 Friendly International
USA vs Australia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USA Compare
Top Goalscorer Freeman A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Australia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USA 68 / 100
Australia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USA Australia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USA's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: USA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Australia let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
USA VS Australia
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
USA
(Home) 07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
Page 1 of 7
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2 Germany
Page 1 of 6
Australia
(Away) 03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2 Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1 Australia
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1 Australia
31 May
Mexico
1 : 0 Australia
19 Nov
Colombia
3 : 0 Australia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
