Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
De Ketelaere C.
Assist: Raskin N.
21'
21'
Sub
Onana A. In: Vanaken H.
Out: Onana A.
31'
31'
Tillman M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Belgium advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- USA carry the better recent record into this one.
- Belgium are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- USA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Belgium, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Belgium have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
USA Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USA | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 7, 2026 World Championship
USA vs Belgium
1:4
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
USA vs Belgium
2:5
Jul 1, 2014 World Championship
Belgium vs USA
2:1
May 30, 2013 Friendly International
USA vs Belgium
2:4
Sep 6, 2011 Friendly International
Belgium vs USA
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USA Compare
Top Goalscorer Tillman M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Belgium Compare
Top Goalscorer De Ketelaere C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vanaken H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USA 18 / 100
Belgium 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USA Belgium
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USA's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Belgium's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: USA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USA VS Belgium
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
USA
(Home) 07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
Page 1 of 6
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1 Paraguay
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2 Germany
Page 1 of 6
Belgium
(Away) 10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0 Iran
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
02 Jun
Croatia
0 : 2 Belgium
01 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Belgium
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6
