Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA vs Bolivia

South America South America

Copa América AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
USA Logo

USA

2 - 0
FT
Bolivia Logo

Bolivia

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pulisic C.
Assist: Weah T.
27'
Justiniano L.
28'
Villamil G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
USA
15%
Draws
34%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA come out ahead of Bolivia on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on USA taking it.
  • USA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors USA here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
USA Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Bolivia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2024 Copa América
USA vs Bolivia
2:0
May 28, 2018 Friendly International
USA vs Bolivia
3:0
May 29, 2016 Friendly International
USA vs Bolivia
4:0
Jul 10, 1995 Copa América
Bolivia vs USA
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulisic C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balogun F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 95 / 100
Bolivia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Bolivia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Bolivia let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

USA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Bolivia
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
Page 1 of 7

Bolivia

(Away)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
3 Chile 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Peru 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Mexico 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Jamaica 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Panama 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 USA 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Bolivia 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Brazil 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Costa Rica 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Paraguay 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)