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USA vs Peru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
4 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ellis J.
Assist: Reyna G.
15' Event
Lapadula G.
Assist: Yotun Y.
23'
Sullivan C.

AI Match Summary

USA in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
USA
15%
Draws
7%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • USA have won more games recently than Peru.
  • Win probability leans USA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
USA Clean Sheet 17%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Peru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 1 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Friendly International
USA vs Peru
4:1
Oct 17, 2018 Friendly International
USA vs Peru
1:1
Sep 4, 2015 Friendly International
USA vs Peru
2:1
Feb 15, 2000 Gold Cup
Peru vs USA
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapadula G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 84 / 100
Peru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Peru has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

USA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Peru
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)
07 Oct
USA
1 : 0
Canada
04 Oct
USA
3 : 0
Mexico
30 Sept
USA
4 : 2
Chile
26 Sept
USA
4 : 1
Peru
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
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Peru

(Away)
06 Oct
Colombia
2 : 0
Peru
03 Oct
Canada
2 : 0
Peru
30 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Peru
26 Sept
USA
4 : 1
Peru
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
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