Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA W vs Chile W

World World

Friendly International Women Harder Stadium, Santa Barbara, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bethune C.
Assist: Oke A.
26' Event
Joseph J.
Assist: Ryan Y.
33' Event
Sams E.
Assist: Sears E.

AI Match Summary

USA W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
USA W
15%
Draws
34%
Chile W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • USA W have won more games recently than Chile W.
  • Win probability leans USA W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and USA W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
USA W Clean Sheet 68%
Chile W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W Chile W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 23 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Chile W
5:0
Jun 16, 2019 World Cup Women
USA W vs Chile W
3:0
Sep 5, 2018 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Chile W
4:0
Sep 1, 2018 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Chile W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bethune C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chile W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 68 / 100
Chile W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W Chile W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Chile W conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

USA W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS Chile W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
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Chile W

(Away)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
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