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USA W vs New Zealand W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 CPKC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sears E.
Assist: Cooper M.
34' Event
Macario C.
44' Event
Lavelle R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between USA W and New Zealand W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
USA W
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA W come out ahead of New Zealand W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and USA W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
USA W Clean Sheet 13%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W New Zealand W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 23 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
USA W vs New Zealand W
6:0
Jan 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs USA W
0:5
Jan 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs USA W
0:4
Feb 20, 2022 SheBelieves Cup Women
USA W vs New Zealand W
5:0
Jul 24, 2021 Olympic Games Women
New Zealand W vs USA W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sears E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Macario C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

New Zealand W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 10 / 100
New Zealand W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W New Zealand W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: New Zealand W conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

USA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS New Zealand W
2.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%