Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Afyonspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Erturk H.
Assist: Yildiz Y.

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Usak Belediyespor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
28%
Draws
50%
Afyonspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have won more games recently than Afyonspor.
  • Win probability leans Afyonspor's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 20%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Afyonspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Afyonspor
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:4
Apr 28, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Afyonspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2:1
Dec 26, 2020 2. Lig White Group
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Afyonspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Erturk H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Afyonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 24 / 100
Afyonspor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Afyonspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afyonspor has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu VS Afyonspor
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184