Sport Picks
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Balikesirspor
Turkey
3. Lig Group 4 
Match Events
1'
1'
Kirca T.
11'
11'
Kirca T.
Assist: Yasa E.
45'
45'
Barlik E.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Usak Belediyespor Kulubu and Balikesirspor finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balikesirspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Balikesirspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Balikesirspor have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 14%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | Balikesirspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Balikesirspor
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Balikesirspor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Balikesirspor
0:2
Apr 9, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Balikesirspor
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Balikesirspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Kirca T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 31 / 100
Balikesirspor 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Balikesirspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Balikesirspor conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu VS Balikesirspor
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
(Home) 18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0 Nazillispor
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1 Eskisehir Anadolu
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0 Nazillispor
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1 Eskisehir Anadolu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2 Balikesirspor
07 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1 : 2 Karsiyaka
22 Feb
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2 : 0 Soke 1970
Page 1 of 3
Balikesirspor
(Away) 28 Apr
Eskisehirspor
3 : 0 Balikesirspor
24 Apr
Balikesirspor
2 : 1 Eskisehirspor
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4 Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Balikesirspor
1 : 1 Eskisehirspor
05 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Eskisehirspor
3 : 0 Balikesirspor
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4 Balikesirspor
05 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1 Balikesirspor
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2 Balikesirspor
08 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 7 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kutahyaspor | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Eskisehirspor | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 74:18 | 71 |
| 3 | Karsiyaka | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:19 | 67 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Balikesirspor | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:24 | 58 |
| 6 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 48 |
| 7 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:33 | 47 |
| 8 | Alanya 1221 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Tire 2021 FK | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:39 | 37 |
| 10 | Soke 1970 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Altay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 13 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:66 | 23 |
| 14 | Afyonspor | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31:61 | 22 |
| 15 | Bornova 1877 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:68 | 21 |
| 16 | Nazillispor | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7:118 | 4 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
