Sport Picks
USD Casatese vs Caldiero Terme
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
80'
80'
Avinci G.
90'
90'
Goglino P. A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Caldiero Terme.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on USD Casatese taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Casatese | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs USD Casatese
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs USD Casatese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Avinci G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Goglino P. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Casatese 59 / 100
Caldiero Terme 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Casatese Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USD Casatese found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Caldiero Terme conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: USD Casatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USD Casatese VS Caldiero Terme
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Casatese
(Home) 27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 4
Caldiero Terme
(Away) 27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
