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USD Casatese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mendola N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between USD Casatese and Ciliverghe Mazzano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
USD Casatese
30%
Draws
12%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USD Casatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USD Casatese come out ahead of Ciliverghe Mazzano on wins alone.
  • Model gives USD Casatese a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Casatese Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.39 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs USD Casatese
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendola N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Casatese 95 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Casatese Ciliverghe Mazzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

USD Casatese's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

USD Casatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USD Casatese VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Casatese

(Home)
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
Page 1 of 6

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Away)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)