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USD Casatese vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pontiggia S.
89' Event
Comberiati M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between USD Casatese and Sona finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
USD Casatese
30%
Draws
47%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USD Casatese come out ahead of Sona on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Sona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Casatese Sona
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.37 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Sona
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs USD Casatese
0:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Sona
5:3
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs USD Casatese
0:2
Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Sona
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontiggia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Comberiati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Casatese 41 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Casatese Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

USD Casatese found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Sona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

USD Casatese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USD Casatese VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Casatese

(Home)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
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Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)