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USD Casatese vs Varese FC

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USD Casatese host Varese FC in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: USD Casatese at 1.43 goals for, 0.89 against; Varese FC at 1.34 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor USD Casatese slightly — 0-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring USD Casatese. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USD Casatese
30%
Draws
39%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varese FC have won more games recently than USD Casatese.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on USD Casatese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 20%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Casatese Varese FC
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly
USD Casatese vs Varese FC
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Varese FC vs USD Casatese
0:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Varese FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Casatese 42 / 100
Varese FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Casatese Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USD Casatese scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Varese FC conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

USD Casatese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USD Casatese VS Varese FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Casatese

(Home)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
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Varese FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
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