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USD Ragusa vs Real Casalnuovo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Cardinale A.
45' Event
Reginaldo
(Penalty)
70' Event
Oddo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between USD Ragusa and Real Casalnuovo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
USD Ragusa
30%
Draws
47%
Real Casalnuovo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Casalnuovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Casalnuovo come out ahead of USD Ragusa on wins alone.
  • USD Ragusa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 20%
Real Casalnuovo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa Real Casalnuovo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Real Casalnuovo
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Real Casalnuovo vs USD Ragusa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardinale A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oddo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Real Casalnuovo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 36 / 100
Real Casalnuovo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa Real Casalnuovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Casalnuovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Real Casalnuovo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

USD Ragusa found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
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Real Casalnuovo

(Away)
05 May
Real Casalnuovo
3 : 4
Siracusa
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
14 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
07 Apr
Real Casalnuovo
0 : 1
Reggina
28 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)